Artificial Intelligence Arms Dynamics

Artificial Intelligence (AI) has undergone rapid evolution, not only by penetrating every aspect of our life but also
by transitioning from theoretical concepts to foundational
components of modern military strategy. This book focuses
into the heart of this evolution, focusing on the escalating
AI arms rivalry between the U.S. and China. Drawing upon
Barry Buzan’s theoretical frameworks, this book aims to analyze if there is an AI arms race between the U.S. and China as
a part of the ongoing great power competition.
Findings from the study indicate that both countries
perceive AI as a pivotal element of future warfare and
national security, leading to significant investments in
research and development. The U.S., with its historically
dominant military-technological edge, seeks to maintain
its superiority through innovation and strategic partnerships. Conversely, China’s ambitious AI strategy aims to
establish its leadership in AI technology by 2030, challenging U.S. dominance and reshaping the global security landscape.
The analysis reveals that rather than an AI arms race
where the possibility for warfare should be high, the rivalry
between U.S.-China is more an “AI arms competition” with
both states not willing to start a direct war with each other,
at least for the short term. Furthermore, the study finds out
that the AI arms competition between both states is driven
by both external threats and internal motivations, however, the technological imperative -which is considered as
an independent variable- is the main driving force behind
this rivalry. In conclusion, the research suggests that the AI
arms competition between the U.S. and China is a defining
feature of contemporary international security dynamics,
with profound implications for global stability.